Posts by Sam Gödel-Conway
Showing posts 1-10 of 30 (most recent first)
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#154
| 2026-08-20 11:01:58 UTC
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Right now, the average interested autism-American with a cumulative $10k inv…
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Right now, the average interested autism-American with a cumulative $10k invested has technical parity with all but the elite individual soldiers fielded by the US military. Imagine a team of somewhat disciplined guys with full NVGs, M855A (or even M855A1) Ammunition, smoke grenades, and body armor getting in a fight with the local police force. It’s very likely the militia-types would win, at least initially.
But the 2020s do not reflect the conditions of the Battle of Blair Mountain in 1921
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Direct violence is becoming secondary to the control of information, the control of high technology, and the exploitation of information asymmetry.
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technological development has rendered the gun an ineffective tool for demanding redress from a recalcitrant government.
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https://substack.com/home/post/p-209879372
Interesting question: What _are_ the relevant units of force today ?
#152
| 2026-08-17 07:33:38 UTC
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When you communicate because you engage in local trade and you all share e…
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When you communicate because you engage in local trade and you all share economic bonds that will continue from generation to generation, you will become cohesive. This bond is broken when the federal government allows companies to relocate their foreign workforce into your neighborhood, destabilizing local cultural bonds and disrupting the intergenerational structure; the entire community becomes atomized. People stop participating in civic life because if their children will not inherit their efforts, why should they continue to put in the effort?
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https://tompnoid.substack.com/p/part-2-white-people-dont-exist
#150
| 2026-08-14 07:13:44 UTC
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A coup can prevent the formation of such a regime, as in Pinochet’s removal …
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A coup can prevent the formation of such a regime, as in Pinochet’s removal of Allende’s incipient Marxist government, but once the total state has slimed its way into place it cannot be taken down via internal military opposition.
When single-party ideological states are brought down it is usually due to legitimacy decay amongst the civilian population, accompanied by cynicism and indecision within an elite that ceases to really believe in its own bullshit. There is a political crisis, in which the military must decide whether or not to follow orders to fire upon protesters or something. If the military holds fast to the regime ideology, as recently happened in Iran, then the soldiers shoot, the protesters die, and the regime remains. If the military refuses, as happened in Romania when Ceausescu came down, the regime falls, and its leaders are imprisoned or executed.
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https://barsoom.substack.com/p/gay-race-communism-vs-the-swarm
#144
| 2026-06-21 08:57:13 UTC
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In the modern West there is not much reason an average woman would want to pair…
In the modern West there is not much reason an average woman would want to pair-bond with an average man. This doesn’t necessarily imply any moral fault of the individual female, although it does have catastrophic social consequences. She doesn’t need his work, she isn’t attracted to him, she also isn’t coerced to accept him lest she remains a spinster. Sure, she would like pair-bonding and children with a high-value male: but a woman cannot pair-bond with a man she doesn’t find attractive. Because woman are hardwired to be attracted to men firmly above them, in a gender-equal society the pool of attractive men is necessarily small. Emancipated women don’t see average men as suitable partners for family formation. The few guys women would start a family with would rather enjoy being the minority of men who get to have copious sex than found a family with any of the applicants. Without pair-bonding and stable relationships, birth rates crater.
https://substack.com/home/post/p-201446551
#143
| 2026-06-19 18:39:27 UTC
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Sarkozy served prison time for allegedly taking money from Gaddafi to fund his …
Sarkozy served prison time for allegedly taking money from Gaddafi to fund his reelection campaign, a man he was at the forefront of the effort to depose; this sort of thing is outlandish and hard to draw conclusions from. But if true, these are not the actions of a man who believes in the long-term stability of his country.
Similarly, the Le Pen clan do not believe they can turn around France’s coming Brazilification either. So, in a rather less naked and commercial way than the Trump family, they are going through the pockets of _Marianne_ as she sleeps on the driverless metro; the political conflict, at least within the Assemblée nationale, is over who will benefit from the legacy wealth and influence of a great country. France makes rockets, handbags and helicopters; she provides a far better quality of life for her inhabitants than Britain, and at least in large pockets will continue to do so indefinitely.
https://www.pimlicojournal.co.uk/p/france-our-prettier-neighbour-278
#142
| 2026-06-17 09:57:49 UTC
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What the System Does:
- It moves wealth upward.
- It shields institutions from…
What the System Does:
- It moves wealth upward.
- It shields institutions from accountability.
- It converts crises into expansions of technocratic power.
- It ensures that the people who bear the losses - pensioners, depositors, taxpayers - have no meaningful say in the rules that produced those losses.
- It writes the next chapter of control before the current chapter collapses, then waits for the collapse to make the chapter look like a rescue.
- It removes constraints so bubbles can form, then blames the bubbles on market excess, then demands more authority to prevent the next one.
- It maintains the fiction of democratic control over economic policy while steadily transferring that control to bodies beyond electoral reach.
That's what it does. So that’s what it's for.
Source:
https://substack.com/@escapekey/note/c-277226214
#123
| 2026-04-04 07:25:18 UTC
"For the average person, all problems date to World War II; for the more inform…
"For the average person, all problems date to World War II; for the more informed, to World War I; for the genuine historian, to the French Revolution."
"The true herdist ... is nothing but an egoist who cannot tolerate anybody differing from himself. John Doe, the identitarian, wants a nation, a world, a universe peopled by millions of John Does. He cannot sympathize nor like anybody at variance with John Doe. No wonder that his wishful dream is a humanity of John Does without God or Devil. The herdist is by necessity a /humanitarian/."
"Equality presupposes the perpetual application of force; equality after all is an unnatural condition - it is just as unnatural as a completely straight line, a geometrical plain, a perfect circle, distilled water, etc. It needs the intervention of human agencies."
"Liberty and equality are in essence contradictory."
"The herd instinct ... is of the animalistic order, the romantic spirit is purely human, divine."
- Erik von Kuehnelt-Leddihn
#120
| 2026-04-03 07:26:46 UTC
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Young people in the modern world are being asked to act as heirs when they are …
Young people in the modern world are being asked to act as heirs when they are actually tenants.
They were raised on expectations of:
autonomy, self-expression, mobility, romance, meaningful work, home ownership, and gradual upward movement.
What they got:
High housing costs, delayed family formation, wage shrinkage relative to assets, bureaucratic job markets, credential inflation, social atomization, and:
an online world that floods them with stimulation and eliminates real status, real community, and real purpose.
They are surrounded by immense wealth, advanced systems, and unprecedented flows of information, but they have no prospect of ever owning any of it.
Without the old established pathways into meaningful levels of agency + ownership, they cannot develop into social adulthood.
History suggests several different outcomes to this situation.
One thing is for sure: The current setup is not a stable state and will not continue. It will change into a new state.
#110
| 2026-03-12 08:17:43 UTC
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An interesting demographic strategy:
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Moroccan families pool resources to fa…
An interesting demographic strategy:
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Moroccan families pool resources to facilitate hrraga (illegal crossers) specifically for their most problematic members. The family calculus is brutal and rational. That cousin with addiction issues who brings hschuma (shame) to the family? Pool money from uncles, aunts, and grandparents to pay a smuggler. That nephew with a criminal record who cannot find work and sits unemployed bringing disgrace? Finance his boat crossing to Spain. The binary outcome serves family interests either way: he dies attempting the Strait of Gibraltar crossing (problem eliminated, family can claim tragedy rather than disgrace), or he reaches Spain and eventually sends remittances (problem exported, potential income stream created, family honor preserved).
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Morocco reduces domestic crime, increases remittances (7-8% of GDP), and exports social problems to Europe.
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https://asmium.substack.com/p/on-muslim-immigration-to-europe
#102
| 2026-02-03 08:17:50 UTC
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Reader: When users perform a gated action on a web platform, how is it easier t…
Reader: When users perform a gated action on a web platform, how is it easier to charge them after the fact? Surely this still requires a ledger.
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It's easier because you can treat each gated action as a simple counter increment. At the end of a period (e.g. monthly), you bill for the total. Instead of a financial transaction per action, you have one transaction per period.
Over time you may log counter increments in more detail, perhaps approaching ledger-like tracking. But you don't have to start with it.
It's also psychologically easier for a user to click now and pay later.
This is fine for utilities like hosting: you buy a service, get an invoice later.
On current social platforms, posts are free, so no tracking needed, but - endless noise.
If you want a real pro-human social platform, this doesn't work. Users and bots can create throwaway accounts, post junk, and never pay. But their content stays on the system and consumes the attention of current and future users.
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